How do we predict JEE MAIN Rank?

You must have wondered “How Resonance predict rank given only expected JEE Main marks and Board Percentage?” or “How Resonance predicted rank is close to the actual ranks?” Well the answer is simple. We follow the same methodology as followed by CBSE. Confused how can we do that? Let’s see how?

• You give us JEE Main expected marks. Let’s call it ‘x’. As illustration, let this x be 250.
• You give us Board Percentage. Let this percentage be 90.

Now, as we have a data of percentages of tens of thousands of students of 2014, we calculate your expected percentile score based on this data. For eg, if we have 10000 students data and student who got 90% has 9500 students below him, your percentile becomes 95. Remember this percentile is the most important one.

Now we also have JEE Main scores of tens of thousands of students. We do the following:

• Suppose we have 10000 students of whom we have JEE Mains marks of previous year. We arrange them in decreasing order and see the marks of a student who has 9500 students below him (seeing the same percentile score). We take the numbers of this student and call it “y”. In our example, let it be 100.
• Next, we repeat the above exercise but this time only with students having same board as you. For eg, we take all students of CBSE (if your board is CBSE) and arrange their JEE Mains marks. Next, we see the marks of a student who has 95% students below him. We take the numbers of this student and call it “z”. In our example, let it be 120.

As per CBSE guidelines, the normalized score becomes:

N = 0.6*x + 0.4*(y + z)/2

In our example with x = 250, y = 100 and z = 120, this value becomes

N = 172

This is the final score based on which your rank will be calculated. Guess what, we have the range for this data too. For example, If, in 2014, the rank corresponding to this score is 11500, we report 10001 to 12500.

Now that you know how do we predict your ranks, why don’t you give it a shot by clicking here?

1. This only works if the distribution of marks to rank in JEE Main & marks to percentile in Board Exams stays the same across years. Do you have any data to support that? That seems highly unlikely.

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• No we do not have the data to support that. Its the hypothesis which is being tested this year. In 2013 and 2014 the distribution was nicely correlated but two year data is not enough to prove a hypothesis.

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2. But previous year ur assumptions vary a lot. What do u have to say about that ??

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• That is true. That is why it is a hypothesis which is much better than currently existing other predictors which directly take board percentage into consideration. Our results are expected to be far more accurate.

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3. this time level of boards was higher so it will not be easy to get 95 % marks so i think predicted rank is going to vary a lot with actual results

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• Yes this can happen surely.

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4. whate is the board weightage for andhra pradesh board is it only second year or both first year and second year

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• Board weightage is based on the percentile score in the year in which the student gave class 12th exam. This means if you are giving JEE Main in 2015 and gave 12th in 2014, 2015 board will not have any repercussions on your rank.

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5. This year (2015) the level of the paper was a bit tough than last time.. Then would the actual rank be somewhat better than what you predict? And also would your predictor work for Andhra pradesh or telangana board people too?

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• Yes, it would be better than last year. Due to lack of data we are still not able to predict rank for Andhra board.

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• Thank you! But how much does CBSE board differ from Andhra board? For eg im from andhra board and i got 96% in it.. using ur predictor i have seem to get a rank of around 14000.. But how much would this vary considering that i have entered andhra board marks instead of CBSE? Is 96% a good percent in CBSE?

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6. for dropper students will the percentile be decided from last year board marks or with a combined list of this year students too

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• Percentile for last year board marks are taken.

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7. Thank you! But how much does CBSE board differ from Andhra board? For eg im from andhra board and i got 96% in it.. using ur predictor i have seem to get a rank of around 14000.. But how much would this vary considering that i have entered andhra board marks instead of CBSE? Is 96% a good percent in CBSE?

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• 96% is a very good percent in CBSE.

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8. When i have used the rank predictor it showed me two ranks… General and OBC ranks. While allotting colleges during counselling which rank would be considered?

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• OBC rank will be considered. In some colleges, there is no quota for OBC. In them, open ranks will be considered.

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9. By how much margin would this years actual results vary from the ranks your website predicted??

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• It should be around 10-15 % variation.

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10. I have entered Andhra pradesh board marks insteat of CBSE board. (i am expecting 96.5%) By how margin would the actual result vary?

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• It can vary substantially.

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11. How accurate are your rank predictions? By how much margin would my actual rank differ from the rank shown here? Would the rank get better or worse? Especially this year 2015?

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• Rank is expected to be better this year. We used last year’s data for this prediction.

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12. While i am using the rank predictor it shows two ranks.. Open or general category and OBC category rank. (i belong to OBC group). So while counselling which rank would be considered for alloting colleges?

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• While counselling, the best rank is used which means your OBC rank will be used.

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13. While entering Board percentage i entered Andhra pradesh board percentage instead of CBSE (i am from AP and i am expecting 96-97% in AP board). Now by how much margin would my actuall rank differ from your predicted rank?

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• Currently the system works only for CBSE percentage. It can very substantially given the fact that AP board is very lineant in marking.

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14. I belong to Telangana state and also to the OBC category. So will i get any special reservation for NIT warangal because i am from the same state?

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• Yes, there is home state quota.

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15. This is not right way to predict score.

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• Jay we are not predicting scores. We are predicting ranks and this is the same algorithm which is being used by CBSE. However, as we use historical data, error of 10 – 15 % will always be there.

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16. hello i have got 97.5 percent in intermediate telangana board…what may be my rank.and my mains score is 160

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• Do you know how much percentile did you get on this percent?

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17. Kindly update the rank predictor in accordance with the cut-off scores….

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• Yes will do by the end of today. Thanks

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• Heartily congratulations to the resonance team for bringing out the most reliable rank predictor…

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18. How do u know that for droppers percentile used for their board exams are same as off their pervious year.That’s not mention in jee mains brochure.?

And please let me know that my jee mains score is 142 and cbse Board percentage is 93.6% . Whats my expected rank in jee mains 2015.
(Considering the fact that cut marks is dropped by 10 )?

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• previous year’s percentile will be used for repeaters.

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• whats the rank for the above information approx?

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• The data we have is for 2014 only. You should be getting fairly precise results.

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19. by what margin will the rank differ due to decrease in cut off by 10 marks

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• We have taken this factor into account using new cutoffs.

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• so do u modify ur rank predictor according to drop cut off?

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20. last year according to your rank predictor I was getting rank, somewhere beyond 5,00,000 but actually my rank was 160000.so how could contradict with such huge margin?

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• Last year we did not had the data to accurately predict the rank but this year we did. This year rank should be fairly accurate.

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21. Sir..can there be any error in valuation of omr sheet…
I lost about 10 marks from the result that I calculated with final official answer key
Can anything be done….pls do reply…thanks

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• The details of these things can be found only at official jeemain portal.

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22. is your college predictor is according to the jee mains 2015 as rank shall be improve due to low cut off marks .
And r u sure that for repeaters previous board percentile to used ?

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23. Sir, three weeks back the rank predictor showed me a rank of 6000 and now its showing a rank of 3000? why is it changing?

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• The logic of rank predictor has changed as the cutoff has decreased. As we were using last years data for ranks and the paper was easy last year, the predicted rank came out to be a lot worse than what it is coming now.

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24. Sir the rank which you predict and the rank shown by other websites vary a lot… Ur predictor shows a better rank every time. The difference shown by ur and other websites rank is more than 3000 ranks difference. Do u think we can rely on the rank shown by ur predictor?

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• Our algorithm is fairly accurate and the amount of data which resonance has is unparallel so yes we do have faith in our rank predictor.

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25. Sir, I got 97.50% in Telangana intermediate exam. What would be the equivalent percentage in CBSE board? can you tell approximately so that I use the rank predictor..

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26. Sir, what does “General” mean which the predictor shows within a bracket alongside the predicted rank, I am confused whether the predicted rank is ALL INDIA GENERAL CATEGORY RANK OR ALL INDIA OVERALL RANK?As all the NITs use All India overall rank for counselling.Please reply sir.

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• Its your All India Overall Rank including all categories.

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27. sir last year jee cutoff was 115 whereas this year it is 105 so the marks vs percentile will surely change to a large extent and the excepted rank will be incorrect

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• we incorporate the difficulty level of the paper while predicting ranks. But there can be a slight variation in predicted and actual rank.

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28. My jee mains score is 92 and board percentage is 87.40.. I am a category of st student and a dropper too.. Is my score good enough ?

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29. sir, i got 232 mrks in jee mains 2015 nd hv 95.00% in cbse …
can i get cs in nit warangal …
what would be my predicted rank fr dis year …. considering to this year’s cutoff

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• You haven’t mentioned the state you belong to, but still there are fair chances that you will get it.

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30. Sir i got 89.98% cbse and 98 marks in jee my rank will be …???general category

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• You can expect your rank to be above 85,000. It is the prediction made by our experts on the basis of previous years trend, actual rank may vary.

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31. when you say cbse score is it only of PCM or the total?

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32. Sir i got 89.60% in CBSE board last year and 58 marks (category-SC) in jee main this year. Is there any chance of getting any branch in NIT Silchar (Home State) as per my category? Moreover sir what would be my predicted rank (Both AIR & SC rank)?

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33. Sry to say sir but this was my last year data nd i got 23568 rank not 85000

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• Can you provide us the data you entered with category details.

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34. Dear Sir :

Have you updated your JEE Main Rank Predictor, to incorporate the actual trend of results in the (i) 2015 CBSE Class 12 exams, and (ii) JEE Main 2015? Or does it reflect the trends as per last year’s scores in both the exams?

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• We do not have the data for CBSE 2015 marks as of now. We will soon be updating it.

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35. is it necessary to cross jee main cutoff to get rank.i have got 94% in cbse and 85 in jee main.gen category

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• Cut-off is to qualify for JEE Advanced and yes, it is necessary to cross it in order to appear for JEE Advanced paper.

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36. Sir last year with 112 and 95% (exact), I got 44k rank
This year with 150 and 95% ,your prediction says upto 20000 . Can I be assured of 30000 or less rank?
Sir plz tell

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• Dear Nilay,
Based on our prediction we can say that you may get rank well below 30,000. But the analysis done is based on last years rank pattern which are normalized with difficulty level of this years paper. We cannot guarantee you the exact match.

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• just an estimate sir.Is getting a rank below 30000 probable?

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37. sir, i got 232 marks in jee mains 2015 nd hv 95.00% in cbse 2014
what would be my predicted rank for this year.
would it be better than the rank showing now, if so then by how much ?

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38. i m getting 172 marks and 83.2 board% cbse can i get any nit???

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39. Dear Sir :

Have you updated the Predictor for actual scores in CBSE Class 12 2015?

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40. Sir, last year my AIR for 82 marks in jeemain was 160000 with 12 % 90.00 CBSE.
what would be my rank this year with 106 marks since cut off had gone down?

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41. sir i got 109 marks in jee main and 92% in telangana board. i belong to sc category. so what will be my rank in jee main

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42. Sir, my JEE Main Score is 62 and CBSE score is 90.8%. I belong to ST category of Assam. Will i get any NIT (Home state or other state)?

Sunny

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43. no..no..i did not mean it for jee adv. i meant that for getting jee rank,is crossing the cutoff necessary?if no would i get nit patna claiming hs quota?marks details in last query..

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• Crossing cut-off is required to appear for JEE Advanced. You do not require to cross cut-off to get rank in JEE Mains.

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44. sir i am of telangana board. so can i check my estimated rank in resonance renk predictor because it shows only for cbse score

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• Due to lack of data, we are predicting rank considering CBSE Percentage only.

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45. i got 143000 all india rank. i belong to sc category. so can i get top branches in top colleges

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46. Can you help to prepare for JEE (Main)-2016 if I drop this year?

Sunny

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47. I don’t believe this prediction you say u have taken percentage from your 10000 students and not the entire India then how can i believe this prediction is correct

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• There is a process called Extrapolation which we have used to predict the rank using the sample data of 10,000 students. If you are not familiar with this process, you can always use Google 🙂

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48. Have you updated your rank predictor for this year’s actual CBSE scores in Class XII?

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49. sir are the seats filled by AIR rank or category rank because when coming to sc and st caste there are 2 types of ranks appearing in your rank predictor?

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• NIT of your home state is filled using HS Rank while rest of the NITs are filled with ALL INDIA RANK

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50. Sir my Category is OBC NCL, Your rank predictor shows a rank of 25k-28k in OBC and 90k-99k in General. I gave my JEE-Mains and Boards from Rajasthan , but am a permanent resident of Assam, What will be my home state ? Also, if i want to Study in NIT Silchar(Assam), what category rank will be conisdered ?? the general one or OBC one??

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• Your home state will be Rajasthan as you have done your 12th from there. You will be considered under OBC category.

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51. sir according to your rank predictior, i got air beween 59000 to 69000 and obc rank in between 15000 to 19000.can i get nit patna(home state)?

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52. Sir my expected rank is between 63352-75182 and i am from sc can i get any nit is there any chance

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53. How to get datq of last year

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• Which data are you talking about?

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54. Sir i belong to the OBC category, got 97.5% in AP board exam, and 126 in jee mains 2015. Sir please tell me which rank i can get??

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55. at time of councelling which air rank is used general rank or category rank?

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• Best of both.

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56. I was a student of Resonance (2014-15) batch (KTJRR8). My scores are 169 in JEE (mains) and 88.2 % in Rajasthan board. Taking account the past 2 years data corresponding to my case, In what range should I expect my rank to be ? (Category : General).
It’ll help a lot.

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57. sir,how much rank will be varied from the predicted rank that you predict????

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• Error should come out to be about 10%

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58. Sir i belong to the st category, got 74.05 maharashtra board exam, and 48 in jee mains 2015. Sir please tell me which rank i can get??

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• Please use our rank predictor to predict the rank.

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59. sir my score in jee mains 171 and 12th board I got 95.6 what would be my rank m from general catagory

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60. 99.76 percentile in cbse will be equal to what percent?

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• CBSE does not disclose such data so it cannot be told.

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61. sir what is the use of category rank in counselling?

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• Some seats are reserved in counselling for which category ranks are used.

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62. For counselling which rank will be taken by JoSAA??
AIR rank or category rank?? Plz tel me sir.

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• Best of both ranks will be considered.

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63. sir! For suppose nit trichy eee branch opening and closing rank for gen:-3000-4000 and for obc:-5000-6000.
If my gen rank is 8000 and my category rank obc is 5500.
Then can i get seat in that NIT with that branch?? plz tel me sir.

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64. I got 92% from pseb board so my percentile is 99-100% and i got 103 in jee main 2015 when i put my percentage in rank predictor it gives rank 35000-40000 when i put as 98%(as a cbse student has such percentile ) it gives me rank 4000-5000 which rank should i expect

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• Dear Umarpreet, you are supposed to enter your Class XII percentage instead of your percentile. Also our rank predictor provides the rank for CBSE percentage only. Ranks based on percentage of other states is unavailable due to insufficient data.

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65. a friend of mine got admission at nirma uni. which gives admission only if rank is below 29000 and on entering his marks your predictor shows 50000 to 60000 rank . WTF ?

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• Dear Lovlin, Board percentage also plays an important role in deciding the JEE Mains Rank. Our predictor shows rank for CBSE marks only,

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66. sir, i belong to sc category, and my homestate is maharashtra.
my rank predicted is around for sc is 63382-75182. does my category work for other nit’s like nit surathkal?

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• Dear Jyohti
Yes your rank will be applicable across all the NITs in India

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67. according to your predictor am getting 63382-75182 rank. as u mentioned above that there would be only 10%-15% error. so can i trust your calculations to be around these rank,because now i have started seeing cutoffs for various nit’s of last year. if i could know the range of the rank it would be much better

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68. Sir, i got 126 marks in jee mains 2015 and 97.5% in AP board exam. Could you please tell me which rank i can expect?

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69. Sir, i got 126 marks in jee mains 2015 and 97.5% in AP board exam. I belong to the OBC category. Could you please tell me what rank i can expect?

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70. it is necessary to cross cut off in jee main to take admission in NIT’s, because this year many news are saying that it is not necessary as cut off marks get down

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• Seats in the NIT’s will be alloted on the basis of your All India Rank. There is no such criteria of cut-off.

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71. at the time of admission
into nits which rank is
used category or open

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• If you are from General, Open rank otherwise category rank will be used.

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72. sir i want to know whether seats in nits will be alloted on the basis of my general rank or my category rank?

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• For category students, seats will be allotted based on the category rank.

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73. How much will the NIT
and other CFTI’s cutoff
ranks be affected by
JOSAA’s common
counseling this year?

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74. sir i got 94% in telangana board.how many marks i should score in jee mains 2016 to get a rank below 3000?iam long term student

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75. Respected Sir
Your AIR is next to accurate.I dropped this time with the hope of doing better next time.As yours is the only institute to provide best guidance for jee I hope to have the same from you.I now donot want to do any classroom coaching.I want you clear my concept and also I want printed study materials with maximum problems which have solution also.Can you provide me such type of study materials ? My intention is take jee adv next year.In CBSE I obtained 93.6% in PCM and overall percentage was 93.2.
Thank you,
Swapnanil Das
10/09/15

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• Hi Swapnil
We are more than happy to help you in any manner possible. Resonance has a division dedicated to develop and provide Study material to students who don’t take classroom coaching. We have a complete study material pack called “Mahapack Virat”. We think it is the exact thing you are looking for. To see the more details, please visit our website:
http://www.edushoppee.com

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76. I am from Bihar board I have got 73.8% last year and expected marks in jee 2016 is 54 what would be my rank I am a obc student

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• As per our prediction the cutoff can be around 60 marks, but this is not the official cutoff and the final status will be cleared only after the announcement of JEE Main result by CBSE.

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77. This it should far more accurate than last year
Can we expect this???
As u may have data of 2014 as well as 2015

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78. I am a student of resonance (15115352). I got 151 marks(gen) in mains and 93.6% in boards approx 95.6 percentile. Your 2016 portal predicts the rank as 29k to 35k while your 2015 portal with same details provide approx 19k to 25k . What is the reason for this broad change? Which can be your final suggestion regarding to my rank.
I hope you reply this as fast as possible, as I am in need of your help.
yours truly
Swapnil Sourabh

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• Dear Swapnil, the rank as predicted on the basis of difficulty level of paper which was different in both years.

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• Which can be your final suggestion regarding my rank?

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