How do we predict JEE MAIN Rank?

You must have wondered “How Resonance predict rank given only expected JEE Main marks and Board Percentage?” or “How Resonance predicted rank is close to the actual ranks?” Well the answer is simple. We follow the same methodology as followed by CBSE. Confused how can we do that? Let’s see how?

  • You give us JEE Main expected marks. Let’s call it ‘x’. As illustration, let this x be 250.
  • You give us Board Percentage. Let this percentage be 90.

Now, as we have a data of percentages of tens of thousands of students of 2014, we calculate your expected percentile score based on this data. For eg, if we have 10000 students data and student who got 90% has 9500 students below him, your percentile becomes 95. Remember this percentile is the most important one.

Now we also have JEE Main scores of tens of thousands of students. We do the following:

  • Suppose we have 10000 students of whom we have JEE Mains marks of previous year. We arrange them in decreasing order and see the marks of a student who has 9500 students below him (seeing the same percentile score). We take the numbers of this student and call it “y”. In our example, let it be 100.
  • Next, we repeat the above exercise but this time only with students having same board as you. For eg, we take all students of CBSE (if your board is CBSE) and arrange their JEE Mains marks. Next, we see the marks of a student who has 95% students below him. We take the numbers of this student and call it “z”. In our example, let it be 120.

As per CBSE guidelines, the normalized score becomes:

N = 0.6*x + 0.4*(y + z)/2

In our example with x = 250, y = 100 and z = 120, this value becomes

N = 172

This is the final score based on which your rank will be calculated. Guess what, we have the range for this data too. For example, If, in 2014, the rank corresponding to this score is 11500, we report 10001 to 12500.

Now that you know how do we predict your ranks, why don’t you give it a shot by clicking here?

152 thoughts on “How do we predict JEE MAIN Rank?

  1. This only works if the distribution of marks to rank in JEE Main & marks to percentile in Board Exams stays the same across years. Do you have any data to support that? That seems highly unlikely.

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    • No we do not have the data to support that. Its the hypothesis which is being tested this year. In 2013 and 2014 the distribution was nicely correlated but two year data is not enough to prove a hypothesis.

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    • That is true. That is why it is a hypothesis which is much better than currently existing other predictors which directly take board percentage into consideration. Our results are expected to be far more accurate.

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    • Board weightage is based on the percentile score in the year in which the student gave class 12th exam. This means if you are giving JEE Main in 2015 and gave 12th in 2014, 2015 board will not have any repercussions on your rank.

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  2. This year (2015) the level of the paper was a bit tough than last time.. Then would the actual rank be somewhat better than what you predict? And also would your predictor work for Andhra pradesh or telangana board people too?

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      • Thank you! But how much does CBSE board differ from Andhra board? For eg im from andhra board and i got 96% in it.. using ur predictor i have seem to get a rank of around 14000.. But how much would this vary considering that i have entered andhra board marks instead of CBSE? Is 96% a good percent in CBSE?

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  3. for dropper students will the percentile be decided from last year board marks or with a combined list of this year students too

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  4. Thank you! But how much does CBSE board differ from Andhra board? For eg im from andhra board and i got 96% in it.. using ur predictor i have seem to get a rank of around 14000.. But how much would this vary considering that i have entered andhra board marks instead of CBSE? Is 96% a good percent in CBSE?

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  5. When i have used the rank predictor it showed me two ranks… General and OBC ranks. While allotting colleges during counselling which rank would be considered?

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  6. I have entered Andhra pradesh board marks insteat of CBSE board. (i am expecting 96.5%) By how margin would the actual result vary?

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  7. How accurate are your rank predictions? By how much margin would my actual rank differ from the rank shown here? Would the rank get better or worse? Especially this year 2015?

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  8. While i am using the rank predictor it shows two ranks.. Open or general category and OBC category rank. (i belong to OBC group). So while counselling which rank would be considered for alloting colleges?

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  9. While entering Board percentage i entered Andhra pradesh board percentage instead of CBSE (i am from AP and i am expecting 96-97% in AP board). Now by how much margin would my actuall rank differ from your predicted rank?

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  10. I belong to Telangana state and also to the OBC category. So will i get any special reservation for NIT warangal because i am from the same state?

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    • Jay we are not predicting scores. We are predicting ranks and this is the same algorithm which is being used by CBSE. However, as we use historical data, error of 10 – 15 % will always be there.

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  11. How do u know that for droppers percentile used for their board exams are same as off their pervious year.That’s not mention in jee mains brochure.?

    And please let me know that my jee mains score is 142 and cbse Board percentage is 93.6% . Whats my expected rank in jee mains 2015.
    (Considering the fact that cut marks is dropped by 10 )?
    please answer as soon as possible

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  12. last year according to your rank predictor I was getting rank, somewhere beyond 5,00,000 but actually my rank was 160000.so how could contradict with such huge margin?

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  13. Sir..can there be any error in valuation of omr sheet…
    I lost about 10 marks from the result that I calculated with final official answer key
    Can anything be done….pls do reply…thanks

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  14. is your college predictor is according to the jee mains 2015 as rank shall be improve due to low cut off marks .
    And r u sure that for repeaters previous board percentile to used ?

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  15. Sir, three weeks back the rank predictor showed me a rank of 6000 and now its showing a rank of 3000? why is it changing?

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    • The logic of rank predictor has changed as the cutoff has decreased. As we were using last years data for ranks and the paper was easy last year, the predicted rank came out to be a lot worse than what it is coming now.

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  16. Sir the rank which you predict and the rank shown by other websites vary a lot… Ur predictor shows a better rank every time. The difference shown by ur and other websites rank is more than 3000 ranks difference. Do u think we can rely on the rank shown by ur predictor?

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  17. Sir, I got 97.50% in Telangana intermediate exam. What would be the equivalent percentage in CBSE board? can you tell approximately so that I use the rank predictor..

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  18. Sir, what does “General” mean which the predictor shows within a bracket alongside the predicted rank, I am confused whether the predicted rank is ALL INDIA GENERAL CATEGORY RANK OR ALL INDIA OVERALL RANK?As all the NITs use All India overall rank for counselling.Please reply sir.

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  19. sir last year jee cutoff was 115 whereas this year it is 105 so the marks vs percentile will surely change to a large extent and the excepted rank will be incorrect

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  20. sir, i got 232 mrks in jee mains 2015 nd hv 95.00% in cbse …
    can i get cs in nit warangal …
    what would be my predicted rank fr dis year …. considering to this year’s cutoff

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  21. Sir i got 89.60% in CBSE board last year and 58 marks (category-SC) in jee main this year. Is there any chance of getting any branch in NIT Silchar (Home State) as per my category? Moreover sir what would be my predicted rank (Both AIR & SC rank)?

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  22. Dear Sir :

    Have you updated your JEE Main Rank Predictor, to incorporate the actual trend of results in the (i) 2015 CBSE Class 12 exams, and (ii) JEE Main 2015? Or does it reflect the trends as per last year’s scores in both the exams?

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  23. Sir last year with 112 and 95% (exact), I got 44k rank
    This year with 150 and 95% ,your prediction says upto 20000 . Can I be assured of 30000 or less rank?
    Sir plz tell

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    • Dear Nilay,
      Based on our prediction we can say that you may get rank well below 30,000. But the analysis done is based on last years rank pattern which are normalized with difficulty level of this years paper. We cannot guarantee you the exact match.

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  24. sir, i got 232 marks in jee mains 2015 nd hv 95.00% in cbse 2014
    what would be my predicted rank for this year.
    would it be better than the rank showing now, if so then by how much ?

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  25. Sir, last year my AIR for 82 marks in jeemain was 160000 with 12 % 90.00 CBSE.
    what would be my rank this year with 106 marks since cut off had gone down?
    please reply sir!!!!!!!!!!

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  26. sir i got 109 marks in jee main and 92% in telangana board. i belong to sc category. so what will be my rank in jee main

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  27. no..no..i did not mean it for jee adv. i meant that for getting jee rank,is crossing the cutoff necessary?if no would i get nit patna claiming hs quota?marks details in last query..

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  28. sir i am of telangana board. so can i check my estimated rank in resonance renk predictor because it shows only for cbse score

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  29. I don’t believe this prediction you say u have taken percentage from your 10000 students and not the entire India then how can i believe this prediction is correct

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    • There is a process called Extrapolation which we have used to predict the rank using the sample data of 10,000 students. If you are not familiar with this process, you can always use Google 🙂

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  30. sir are the seats filled by AIR rank or category rank because when coming to sc and st caste there are 2 types of ranks appearing in your rank predictor?

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  31. Sir my Category is OBC NCL, Your rank predictor shows a rank of 25k-28k in OBC and 90k-99k in General. I gave my JEE-Mains and Boards from Rajasthan , but am a permanent resident of Assam, What will be my home state ? Also, if i want to Study in NIT Silchar(Assam), what category rank will be conisdered ?? the general one or OBC one??

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  32. sir according to your rank predictior, i got air beween 59000 to 69000 and obc rank in between 15000 to 19000.can i get nit patna(home state)?

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  33. Sir i belong to the OBC category, got 97.5% in AP board exam, and 126 in jee mains 2015. Sir please tell me which rank i can get??

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  34. I was a student of Resonance (2014-15) batch (KTJRR8). My scores are 169 in JEE (mains) and 88.2 % in Rajasthan board. Taking account the past 2 years data corresponding to my case, In what range should I expect my rank to be ? (Category : General).
    It’ll help a lot.

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  35. sir! For suppose nit trichy eee branch opening and closing rank for gen:-3000-4000 and for obc:-5000-6000.
    If my gen rank is 8000 and my category rank obc is 5500.
    Then can i get seat in that NIT with that branch?? plz tel me sir.

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  36. I got 92% from pseb board so my percentile is 99-100% and i got 103 in jee main 2015 when i put my percentage in rank predictor it gives rank 35000-40000 when i put as 98%(as a cbse student has such percentile ) it gives me rank 4000-5000 which rank should i expect

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    • Dear Umarpreet, you are supposed to enter your Class XII percentage instead of your percentile. Also our rank predictor provides the rank for CBSE percentage only. Ranks based on percentage of other states is unavailable due to insufficient data.

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  37. a friend of mine got admission at nirma uni. which gives admission only if rank is below 29000 and on entering his marks your predictor shows 50000 to 60000 rank . WTF ?

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  38. sir, i belong to sc category, and my homestate is maharashtra.
    my rank predicted is around for sc is 63382-75182. does my category work for other nit’s like nit surathkal?

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  39. according to your predictor am getting 63382-75182 rank. as u mentioned above that there would be only 10%-15% error. so can i trust your calculations to be around these rank,because now i have started seeing cutoffs for various nit’s of last year. if i could know the range of the rank it would be much better

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  40. Sir, i got 126 marks in jee mains 2015 and 97.5% in AP board exam. I belong to the OBC category. Could you please tell me what rank i can expect?

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  41. it is necessary to cross cut off in jee main to take admission in NIT’s, because this year many news are saying that it is not necessary as cut off marks get down

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  42. sir i got 94% in telangana board.how many marks i should score in jee mains 2016 to get a rank below 3000?iam long term student

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  43. Respected Sir
    Your AIR is next to accurate.I dropped this time with the hope of doing better next time.As yours is the only institute to provide best guidance for jee I hope to have the same from you.I now donot want to do any classroom coaching.I want you clear my concept and also I want printed study materials with maximum problems which have solution also.Can you provide me such type of study materials ? My intention is take jee adv next year.In CBSE I obtained 93.6% in PCM and overall percentage was 93.2.
    Thank you,
    Swapnanil Das
    10/09/15

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    • Hi Swapnil
      We are more than happy to help you in any manner possible. Resonance has a division dedicated to develop and provide Study material to students who don’t take classroom coaching. We have a complete study material pack called “Mahapack Virat”. We think it is the exact thing you are looking for. To see the more details, please visit our website:
      http://www.edushoppee.com

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  44. I am from Bihar board I have got 73.8% last year and expected marks in jee 2016 is 54 what would be my rank I am a obc student

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    • As per our prediction the cutoff can be around 60 marks, but this is not the official cutoff and the final status will be cleared only after the announcement of JEE Main result by CBSE.

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  45. I am a student of resonance (15115352). I got 151 marks(gen) in mains and 93.6% in boards approx 95.6 percentile. Your 2016 portal predicts the rank as 29k to 35k while your 2015 portal with same details provide approx 19k to 25k . What is the reason for this broad change? Which can be your final suggestion regarding to my rank.
    I hope you reply this as fast as possible, as I am in need of your help.
    yours truly
    Swapnil Sourabh

    Like

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